Consecutive Day Prediction
Current Streak
Next-Day Bias
Samples
What is this page telling me?
It asks one question: after several green (or red) days in a row, what usually happens next? Every number counts how often each outcome happened in the past.
- Current Streak: how many same-coloured daily candles just happened. Next-Day Bias: which way history leans for tomorrow after a streak of that exact length.
- Live Streak Continuation Odds: the chance the streak stretches by one, two, three... more days. Odds shrink fast, because long streaks are rare.
- Run tables: columns 1-10 are the streak length (the top row shows which weekday each streak day falls on; the current one is outlined). Rows show how the following day ended, and how many samples that is based on.
- Dimmed cells are based on fewer than 5 cases. Numbers are smoothed toward the long-run average so a tiny sample never shows 0% or 100%.
- Forward Probability Path: a rough 5-day look ahead that blends the streak odds with how each weekday usually behaves.
Example: If a Down 4 streak reads 5th day 35%, 6th day 15%, 7th day 5%, each extra red day is much less likely than the one before: a tendency, not a rule.
Unsure about a word? Click the next to any heading, or open the Beginner's Guide. Statistics describe the past and are not financial advice.
Live Streak Continuation Odds
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Gain Sequential Run Statistics
Continuation odds use Bayesian shrinkage toward the base rate, so short-sample streaks never read as a raw 0% or 100%. Streak reach % compounds the per-step odds forward from your current streak.
| Weekday (UTC) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. Sequence | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Loss Sequential Run Statistics
Continuation odds use Bayesian shrinkage toward the base rate, so short-sample streaks never read as a raw 0% or 100%. Streak reach % compounds the per-step odds forward from your current streak.
| Weekday (UTC) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. Sequence | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Forward Probability Path (Streak + Weekday)
| Step | Target Day (UTC) | Run Length | Streak Up % | Weekday Up % | Combined Up % | Combined Down % | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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